Raul Guarini Riva Assistant Professor of Economics

"A ciência não é uma ilusão. A ilusão é a nossa crença de que a ciência pode responder a tudo."

– Adélia Prado in "O Coração Disparado"

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Welcome!

I am an Assistant Professor at FGV EPGE since July, 2025.

My research interests span Asset Pricing, Macro-Finance, and applied Machine Learning/Econometrics. Currently, my work mainly focuses on understanding how macroeconomic variables and different shocks impact the dynamics of the American yield curve.

I also have a secondary agenda testing implications of models with subjective beliefs for the predictability of market returns.

In the past, I also worked on high-frequency econometric techniques for factor models.